Model registration
Records family, version, target, features, and scope.
Public model governance
Model Performance
Only reproducible, settleable models that pass time-split backtests and calibration gates can appear as public probabilities or combination sources.
No independent PolyOdds model is currently published
This is a governed fallback, not a placeholder. Every event remains explicitly market-baseline only.
Out-of-sample validation
Future leakage is prohibited; time-split backtesting is required.
Public metrics
Shows real sample size, Brier Score, Log Loss, and ECE.
Publication gate
Evidence, features, versioning, and approval must all be complete.
Model familyStatusSamplesBrier / ECE
Macro / FOMCPublication gate not passed——
Weather thresholdsPublication gate not passed——
AI / tech milestonesPublication gate not passed——