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Calculator

Implied Probability Calculator

Convert odds formats into decimal odds and implied probability so you can compare sportsbook prices consistently.

Decimal odds1.909
American odds-110
Implied probability52.38%

Method

How it works

Implied probability converts an odds quote into the break-even win rate before accounting for bookmaker margin. The calculator normalizes American and fractional inputs into decimal odds and then applies one divided by decimal odds.

How to use this calculator

  1. 1Select American, decimal, or fractional odds.
  2. 2Enter a valid positive or negative quote for the selected format.
  3. 3Read the converted decimal odds and implied probability.
  4. 4Use a no-vig calculation when comparing all outcomes in one market.

Educational example

American odds example

American odds of -150 convert to decimal odds of approximately 1.67.

The corresponding implied probability is 60%. That percentage still includes any bookmaker margin embedded in the market.

Common use cases

Compare formats

Translate unfamiliar odds into one consistent probability scale.

Find break-even rate

Identify the win rate required before fees and taxes.

Prepare an EV calculation

Compare implied probability with your independently estimated probability.

Limitations

A single implied probability includes market margin and is not automatically a fair forecast. Invalid prices, exchange commissions, promotional boosts, and multi-outcome rules require additional treatment.

Frequently asked questions

What is implied probability?

It is the break-even probability represented by an odds quote before removing margin.

Why can market probabilities add to more than 100%?

Bookmaker margin, often called overround or vig, pushes the combined implied probabilities above 100%.

Are decimal odds easier to calculate?

Yes. Divide one by decimal odds to get implied probability.