Build simulated parlay portfolios from manual legs, budget, estimated probabilities, and risk mode. Live odds API support is reserved for a later release.
Method
The optimizer creates candidate two-leg and three-leg simulations from manually entered odds and probabilities. It applies confidence adjustments, market-type weights, same-event correlation penalties, probability floors, long-shot limits, and fractional-Kelly caps before allocating the selected budget.
Educational example
A balanced simulation may allocate more budget to a lower-variance two-leg combination and a smaller amount to a higher-return three-leg combination.
The output is a comparison model, not a recommendation. Changing one probability or correlation assumption can reorder the entire portfolio.
See how probability floors and long-shot limits change allocation.
Reduce probability confidence to measure model sensitivity.
Review how much simulated stake depends on the same leg or event.
No optimizer can turn uncertain inputs into guaranteed returns. The current public tool accepts manual data, does not place wagers, and must not be treated as personalized financial or gambling advice.
No. It compares user-entered scenarios for educational analysis.
The server model discounts same-event and overlapping market combinations using configurable penalties.
No. Public calculations use manual inputs until an approved read-only provider is configured.